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Theorem

Chernoff Bound

Probability and Statistics

The Chernoff Bound gives an exponentially decaying upper bound on the probability that a sum of independent random variables deviates from its expected value by a specified amount, derived by applying Markov's inequality to an exponential transform of the sum and then optimizing over the transform's free parameter. Named for Herman Chernoff, it is a standard concentration-of-measure tool, generally far sharper for large deviations than bounds obtained directly from Chebyshev's inequality.

Facts
Statement
For any t greater than zero, the probability that X is at least a is at most the infimum over t of the moment generating function of X evaluated at t, divided by e to the power t times a. 1
Proof Year
1952 1
Classification
Statement Form
Inequality 1
Connections

Has Statement Form

Inequality, Concepts

Entity-backed identity for the statement-form enum value this theorem already carries, resolved to a mathematics concept by an explicit value-to-entity map (phase 3 bucket conversion, docs\design_entity_backed_browse_buckets_20260928.md). The statement-form fact itself stays on the theorem unchanged.

In Branch

Source Chernoff bound (Wikipedia)
Sources
1. Chernoff bound (Wikipedia)
  • Generic Chernoff bounds section
    P(X >= a) <= inf over t > 0 of M(t) e^(-t a)
  • History section
    The bound is commonly named after Herman Chernoff who described the method in a 1952 paper.
  • Lead section, statement-form reference
    In probability theory, a Chernoff bound is an exponentially decreasing upper bound on the tail of a random variable based on its moment generating function.
  • In Branch: Probability and Statistics, Lead sentence
    In probability theory, a Chernoff bound is an exponentially decreasing upper bound on the tail of a random variable based on its m
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